Neighborhood · Ranked #2,892 of 84,120 nationally

Turtle Rock Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine

Tract 06059062627 · Orange, CA · pop 3,970 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

For landlords sizing up Turtle Rock Vista in Irvine, census tract 06059062627 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #7,640 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 74% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,594 monthly, set against $66,434 in average yearly household income, roughly 47% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 22% Owners 16%

Tract context

Occupied units1,607

Renter share83.8%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate37.5%

Median income$66,434

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.6527, -117.8337 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turtle Rock Vista scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Irvine

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

37.5% poverty · this tract

9.4

Supply constraint

$2,594 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Irvine

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Irvine

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Irvine

6.3

How Turtle Rock Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Turtle Rock Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.8%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
17.3%Food insecurity
14.8%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
6.7%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
32.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Vista

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Irvine eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.7 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059062627

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062627?

Census tract 06059062627 in the Turtle Rock Vista neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059062627?

Median gross rent is $2,594/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062627?

37.5% of residents in tract 06059062627 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,970.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062627?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 47th, minority 77th, housing 93th.

Is tract 06059062627 considered part of Turtle Rock Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062627 fall within Turtle Rock Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059062627 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059062627 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059062627 scores 7.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.