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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally

Turtle Rock Vista Eviction Risk: High , Irvine

Tract 06059062627 · Orange, CA · pop 3,970 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 9.2/10, tract 06059062627 in the Turtle Rock Vista area of Irvine, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,970. Against Orange County at 51.8%, 74% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 22% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,607
Renter share83.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$66,434

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Turtle Rock Vista
Elevated
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 49 tracts In Irvine
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#1,536 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.6527, -117.8337 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turtle Rock Vista scores 9.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$2,594 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3

How Turtle Rock Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turtle Rock Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.2This tracttract 0626277.8Irvineparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Turtle Rock Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Vista

35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $66,434, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9.4/10.

The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

It sits 2.2 points above the Orange County average of 7.0. Average gross rent is $2,594, 13% below the Irvine average. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.

Nationally it ranks #3,529 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059062627

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062627?

Census tract 06059062627 in the Turtle Rock Vista neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059062627?

Median gross rent is $2,594/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062627?

37.5% of residents in tract 06059062627 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,970.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062627?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 47th, minority 77th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 06059062627 considered part of Turtle Rock Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062627 fall within Turtle Rock Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059062627 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059062627 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059062627 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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