Turtle Rock Summit Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Orange County average of 51.8%. SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $3,501, 17% above the Irvine average. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.