Turtle Rock Summit Eviction Risk: Elevated

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

2.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $3,501 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of Irvine commands. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.1/10.

Among the 28 mapped neighborhoods of Irvine, it ranks #23 by risk, the lower third. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $159,358.

29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.