Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Concordia East Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine

Tract 06059062651 · Orange, CA · pop 3,139 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 06059062651 covers part of the Concordia East area of Irvine, CA, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,139. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 30% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,186

Renter share65.3%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate8.6%

Median income$108,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.6612, -117.8048 · click any tract to drill in

Why Concordia East scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Irvine

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.6% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$2,317 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Irvine

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Irvine

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Irvine

6.3

How Concordia East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
8%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Concordia East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.6%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
6.3%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
25.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Concordia East

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10.

At $2,317 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Irvine commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3/10. Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 55% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $108,750.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059062651

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062651?

Census tract 06059062651 in the Concordia East neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059062651?

Median gross rent is $2,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062651?

8.6% of residents in tract 06059062651 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,139.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062651?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 8th, minority 50th, housing 28th.

Is tract 06059062651 considered part of Concordia East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062651 fall within Concordia East (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059062651 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059062651 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059062651 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.