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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Greer Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Murrieta

Tract 06065043278 · Riverside, CA · pop 6,248 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

06065043278 is a census tract in the Greer Ranch area of Murrieta, CA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,248. Against Riverside County at 53.8%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 5% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,887
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$163,641

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Greer Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 21 tracts In Murrieta
Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#434 of 518 tracts In Riverside
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Murrieta and the region

Centroid at 33.6091, -117.1894 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greer Ranch scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Murrieta
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,770 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Murrieta
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Murrieta
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Murrieta
5.7

How Greer Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greer Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 043278Murrieta: 6.66.6Murrietaparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greer Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greer Ranch

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.

It sits 1.4 points below the Riverside County average of 6.6. The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,770 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Murrieta commands.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 7/10. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06065043278

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06065043278?

Census tract 06065043278 in the Greer Ranch neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06065043278?

Median gross rent is $2,770/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06065043278?

3.0% of residents in tract 06065043278 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,248.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06065043278?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 49th, minority 59th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 06065043278 considered part of Greer Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06065043278 fall within Greer Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06065043278 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06065043278 compare to Murrieta overall?

Tract 06065043278 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Murrieta at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Murrieta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Murrieta

Top eight tracts in Murrieta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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