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Neighborhood · Murrieta, CA

Greer Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,409 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Greer Ranch is a 2-tract neighborhood of Murrieta, CA, population 11,409. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. 68% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Murrieta rate of 34.0%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. The voucher gap is 17.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,719, 14% above the Murrieta average of $2,388. That places it #6 of 8 neighborhoods in Murrieta. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $140,751.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Greer Ranch vs Murrieta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
68.4% +101%
Murrieta: 34.0%
Average gross rent
$2,719 +14%
Murrieta: $2,388
Average HH income
$140,751 +28%
Murrieta: $109,780
Poverty rate
3.0% -49%
Murrieta: 5.9%
Renter share
20.3% -33%
Murrieta: 30.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greer Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Greer Ranch scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
20% renter households · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
3.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.5–7.0 across tracts
6.8
Risk score comparison

Greer Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Greer Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Greer Ranch: 5.25.2Greer RanchNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Greer Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065043278 5.2 6,248 71% $2,770
06065050401 5.2 5,161 66% $2,658
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greer Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Greer Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Greer Ranch?

Greer Ranch scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Greer Ranch compare to Murrieta overall?

Greer Ranch scores 1.4 points lower than Murrieta overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,719 vs $2,388.
Q3

What is the average rent in Greer Ranch?

Average gross rent in Greer Ranch is $2,719/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Greer Ranch residents are renters?

20% of Greer Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Murrieta). The neighborhood has 11,409 residents.
Q5

Is Greer Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Greer Ranch sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Greer Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Greer Ranch is census tract 06065043278 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.2, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Greer Ranch for landlords?

Greer Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Murrieta as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Greer Ranch?

Greer Ranch has 11,899 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.3%), Hispanic / Latino (34.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greer Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Murrieta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greer Ranch.

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