Shelltown Eviction Risk: High , San Diego
Tract 06073003901 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,375 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Tract 06073003901 sits in the Shelltown area of San Diego eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 4,375 residents. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across San Diego and the region
Centroid at 32.7036, -117.1268 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shelltown scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Shelltown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shelltown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.7%Housing insecurity
- 14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.7%Food insecurity
- 33.7%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 23.9%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 36.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Shelltown
It sits 2.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10.
Food insecurity runs 36.7% against 17.8% nationally. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $67,459, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. At $1,806 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of San Diego commands.
58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 06073003901
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003901?
What is the average rent in tract 06073003901?
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003901?
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003901?
Is tract 06073003901 considered part of Shelltown?
What share of households in tract 06073003901 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 06073003901 compare to San Diego overall?
Was tract 06073003901 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in San Diego
Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.