Mesa College Area Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego
Tract 06073008509 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 6,745 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
06073008509 is a census tract in the Mesa College Area area of San Diego, CA. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,745. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 18%Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,664
Renter share51.1%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$115,600
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Mesa College Area
Very Low
Within parent city
35th percentile
#215 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within county
53th percentile
#345 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Moderate
Within state
57th percentile
#3,885 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Diego and the region
Centroid at 32.8150, -117.1718 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mesa College Area scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,067 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
How Mesa College Area compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
26%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mesa College Area. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.4%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
12.6%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mesa College Area
64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $2,067, 11% below the San Diego average.
On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $115,600. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073008509
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073008509?
Census tract 06073008509 in the Mesa College Area neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073008509?
Median gross rent is $2,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073008509?
6.8% of residents in tract 06073008509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073008509?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 21th, minority 66th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 06073008509 considered part of Mesa College Area?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073008509 fall within Mesa College Area (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073008509 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073008509 compare to San Diego overall?
Tract 06073008509 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Diego
Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.