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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally

Grantville Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073009511 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,072 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

06073009511 is a census tract in the Grantville area of San Diego, CA. It scores 9.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,072 residents. Severe burden reaches 62%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 86% Stable renters 12% Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units955
Renter share98.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$69,087

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Grantville
Very High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#89 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#1,536 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.8035, -117.1084 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grantville scores 9.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Grantville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grantville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.29.2This tracttract 009511San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grantville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grantville

Cost burden runs 88% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. Annualized rent equals 61% of average household income of $69,087, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $3,501 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of San Diego commands.

99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. SNAP participation runs 29.4% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 22.7% against 14.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073009511

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073009511?

Census tract 06073009511 in the Grantville neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073009511?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 88% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073009511?

8.4% of residents in tract 06073009511 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,072.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073009511?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 7th, minority 66th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 06073009511 considered part of Grantville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073009511 fall within Grantville (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073009511 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073009511 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073009511 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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