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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

San Elijo Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Marcos

Tract 06073017113 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,590 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

06073017113 is a census tract in the San Elijo Hills area of San Marcos, CA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,590 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 29% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,816
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$125,595

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In San Elijo Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 20 tracts In San Marcos
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#669 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#7,670 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Marcos and the region

Centroid at 33.0818, -117.2108 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Elijo Hills scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,250 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
6.9

How San Elijo Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Elijo Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 017113San Marcos: 7.07.0San Marcosparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Elijo Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Elijo Hills

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,250, close to the San Marcos average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $125,595.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073017113

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017113?

Census tract 06073017113 in the San Elijo Hills neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073017113?

Median gross rent is $2,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017113?

1.2% of residents in tract 06073017113 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,590.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017113?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 39th, minority 66th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 06073017113 considered part of San Elijo Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017113 fall within San Elijo Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073017113 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073017113 compare to San Marcos overall?

Tract 06073017113 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of San Marcos at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos

Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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