Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
San Elijo Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Marcos
Tract 06073020042 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 4,670 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 06073020042 sits in the San Elijo Hills area of San Marcos, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 13%Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,713
Renter share24.4%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$110,199
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In San Elijo Hills
Very High
Within parent city
32th percentile
#14 of 20 tracts In San Marcos
Low
Within county
15th percentile
#628 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
23th percentile
#7,047 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Marcos and the region
Centroid at 33.1131, -117.2133 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Elijo Hills scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,652 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
6.9
How San Elijo Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
21%Socioeconomic
88%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within San Elijo Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.3%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
7.8%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Elijo Hills
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.6 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6.
46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10.
SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,652, 13% above the San Marcos average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073020042
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020042?
Census tract 06073020042 in the San Elijo Hills neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073020042?
Median gross rent is $2,652/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020042?
3.4% of residents in tract 06073020042 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,670.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020042?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 88th, minority 69th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 06073020042 considered part of San Elijo Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020042 fall within San Elijo Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073020042 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073020042 compare to San Marcos overall?
Tract 06073020042 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of San Marcos at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos
Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.