Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
San Elijo Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Marcos
Tract 06073020043 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 5,374 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 06073020043 sits in the San Elijo Hills area of San Marcos, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. Population here is 5,374. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 4%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,764
Renter share8.2%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$189,265
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In San Elijo Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
26th percentile
#15 of 20 tracts In San Marcos
Low
Within county
14th percentile
#634 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
21th percentile
#7,225 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Marcos and the region
Centroid at 33.1039, -117.1860 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Elijo Hills scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Marcos
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,458 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Marcos
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Marcos
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Marcos
6.9
How San Elijo Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
10%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within San Elijo Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.8%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
4.9%Transit barriers
3.6%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
18.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Elijo Hills
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
Disability prevalence runs 18.3% against 31.5% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $189,265, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073020043
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020043?
Census tract 06073020043 in the San Elijo Hills neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073020043?
Median gross rent is $2,458/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020043?
8.2% of residents in tract 06073020043 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,374.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020043?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 24th, minority 50th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 06073020043 considered part of San Elijo Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020043 fall within San Elijo Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073020043 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073020043 compare to San Marcos overall?
Tract 06073020043 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of San Marcos at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Marcos; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Marcos
Top eight tracts in San Marcos ranked by composite eviction-risk score.