Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
South Oceanside Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06073017801 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 7,245 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 06073017801 in the South Oceanside area of Carlsbad, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 16%Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,855
Renter share40.5%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$115,711
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33th percentile
#3 of 4 tracts In South Oceanside
Low
Within parent city
68th percentile
#8 of 23 tracts In Oceanside
Elevated
Within county
23th percentile
#566 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
33th percentile
#6,120 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oceanside and the region
Centroid at 33.1736, -117.3403 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Oceanside scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oceanside
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,379 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oceanside
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oceanside
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oceanside
6.1
How South Oceanside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
50%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Oceanside. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.7%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
8.9%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Oceanside
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10.
61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.
It sits 1.1 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,379, 15% below the Carlsbad average.
SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $115,711.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073017801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017801?
Census tract 06073017801 in the South Oceanside neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073017801?
Median gross rent is $2,379/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017801?
7.8% of residents in tract 06073017801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,245.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 49th, minority 52th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 06073017801 considered part of South Oceanside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017801 fall within South Oceanside (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073017801 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073017801 compare to Oceanside overall?
Tract 06073017801 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Oceanside at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oceanside eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oceanside
Top eight tracts in Oceanside ranked by composite eviction-risk score.