Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Capistrano Eviction Risk: Elevated , Vista

Tract 06073019810 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,591 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

06073019810 is a census tract in the Capistrano area of Vista, CA. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 56%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 9% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units2,284

Renter share23.2%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate17.7%

Median income$116,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Vista and the region

Centroid at 33.1654, -117.2814 · click any tract to drill in

Why Capistrano scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

17.7% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$2,661 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Vista

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Vista

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Vista

6.5

How Capistrano compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

56%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.6%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
25.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Capistrano

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. Average gross rent is $2,661, 18% above the Vista average.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $116,750.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073019810

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019810?

Census tract 06073019810 in the Capistrano neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073019810?

Median gross rent is $2,661/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019810?

17.7% of residents in tract 06073019810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,591.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019810?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 46th, minority 53th, housing 75th.

Is tract 06073019810 considered part of Capistrano?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073019810 fall within Capistrano (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073019810 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073019810 compare to Vista overall?

Tract 06073019810 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Vista at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vista; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vista

Top eight tracts in Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.