1 census tracts · pop 6,591 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10
· range 7.9–7.9
Capistrano is a one-tract neighborhood of Vista, CA, population 6,591. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.9/10, Elevated tier. 56% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Against a Vista baseline of 34.1%, 63% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. Average gross rent is $2,661, 18% above the Vista average of $2,249. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $116,750.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Capistrano vs VistaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Capistrano
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.6%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
5.8%No health insurance
25.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Capistrano
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Capistrano?
Capistrano scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Capistrano compare to Vista overall?
Capistrano scores 0.4 points higher than Vista overall (7.5/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,661 vs $2,249.
Q3
What is the average rent in Capistrano?
Average gross rent in Capistrano is $2,661/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Capistrano residents are renters?
23% of Capistrano households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Vista). The neighborhood has 6,591 residents.
Q5
Is Capistrano a high social-vulnerability area?
Capistrano sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Capistrano for landlords?
Capistrano carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vista as a whole (7.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Capistrano?
Capistrano has 6,625 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
