Neighborhood · Vista, CA

Capistrano Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,591 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Capistrano is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Vista with 1 census tract and a population of 6,591 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 63% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 56% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,661/month sits 18% higher than the Vista citywide average ($2,249).

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Capistrano vs Vista How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

62.6% +84%

Vista: 34.1%

Average gross rent

$2,661 +18%

Vista: $2,249

Average HH income

$116,750 +27%

Vista: $91,854

Poverty rate

17.7% +74%

Vista: 10.2%

Renter share

23.2% -52%

Vista: 48.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Capistrano and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Capistrano scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

63% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

23% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts

9.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

17.7% below poverty line · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Risk score comparison

Capistrano vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Capistrano

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06073019810	5.2	6,591	63%	$2,661

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 46%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 75%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Capistrano

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.6%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
5.8%No health insurance
25.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Capistrano

What is the eviction-risk score for Capistrano?

Capistrano scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Capistrano compare to Vista overall?

Capistrano scores 2.7 points lower than Vista overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,661 vs $2,249.

What is the average rent in Capistrano?

Average gross rent in Capistrano is $2,661/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Capistrano residents are renters?

23% of Capistrano households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Vista). The neighborhood has 6,591 residents.

Is Capistrano a high social-vulnerability area?

Capistrano sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Capistrano for landlords?

Capistrano carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vista as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Capistrano?

Capistrano has 6,625 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Capistrano

3.7 Ocean Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,874 4.2 The Knolls of Calavera Hills 3 tracts · pop 13,024 3.7 Talich 3 tracts · pop 14,394 4.8 Hannalei Hills 5 tracts · pop 25,631 4.6 Downtown Carlsbad 4 tracts · pop 12,638 5.2 Soltaire 4 tracts · pop 16,204

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Vista

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Capistrano.

4.8 Hannalei Hills 5 tracts · pop 25,631

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