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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Hannalei Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Vista

Tract 06073019903 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,786 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 06073019903 covers part of the Hannalei Hills area of San Marcos, CA, and scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 16% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,480
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$105,089

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Hannalei Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 20 tracts In Vista
Moderate
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#570 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#6,341 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vista and the region

Centroid at 33.1782, -117.1972 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hannalei Hills scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,220 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vista
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vista
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vista
6.9

How Hannalei Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hannalei Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 019903Vista: 7.57.5Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hannalei Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hannalei Hills

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 53% of renters.

Average gross rent is $2,220, close to the San Marcos average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $105,089. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073019903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073019903?

Census tract 06073019903 in the Hannalei Hills neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073019903?

Median gross rent is $2,220/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073019903?

5.5% of residents in tract 06073019903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,786.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073019903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 67th, minority 70th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 06073019903 considered part of Hannalei Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073019903 fall within Hannalei Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073019903 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073019903 compare to Vista overall?

Tract 06073019903 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Vista at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vista; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vista

Top eight tracts in Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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