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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

La Costa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carlsbad

Tract 06073020015 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,621 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

06073020015 is a census tract in the La Costa area of Carlsbad, CA. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 20% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,217
Renter share27.0%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$185,121

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In La Costa
Elevated
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 23 tracts In Carlsbad
Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#656 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#7,378 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region

Centroid at 33.0914, -117.2388 · click any tract to drill in

Why La Costa scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlsbad
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlsbad
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.1

How La Costa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
La Costa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 020015Carlsbad: 7.27.2Carlsbadparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within La Costa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in La Costa

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 25% above the Carlsbad average.

The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020015

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020015?

Census tract 06073020015 in the La Costa neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073020015?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020015?

4.5% of residents in tract 06073020015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,621.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020015?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 15th, minority 30th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 06073020015 considered part of La Costa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020015 fall within La Costa (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073020015 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073020015 compare to Carlsbad overall?

Tract 06073020015 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad

Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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