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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

La Costa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carlsbad

Tract 06073020034 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,636 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

06073020034 is a census tract in the La Costa area of Carlsbad, CA. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 4% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units857
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$240,587

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In La Costa
Low
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 23 tracts In Carlsbad
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#642 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#7,378 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region

Centroid at 33.0713, -117.2532 · click any tract to drill in

Why La Costa scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlsbad
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlsbad
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.1

How La Costa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
La Costa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 020034Carlsbad: 7.27.2Carlsbadparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within La Costa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in La Costa

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. It sits 1.8 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Carlsbad commands. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Food insecurity runs 5.6% against 17.8% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 19.4% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $240,587, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073020034

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073020034?

Census tract 06073020034 in the La Costa neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073020034?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073020034?

1.8% of residents in tract 06073020034 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,636.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073020034?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 11th, minority 36th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 06073020034 considered part of La Costa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073020034 fall within La Costa (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073020034 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073020034 compare to Carlsbad overall?

Tract 06073020034 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad

Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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