Census Tract · Ranked #1,608 of 84,120 nationally

Stockton Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06077002503 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 2,300

How risky is Stockton in San Joaquin County for landlords? Census tract 06077002503 scores 6.7/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 91st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $615 a month against an average household income of $49,228 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.2

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 34% Owners 35%

Tract context

Occupied units567

Renter share64.4%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate28.7%

Median income$49,228

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stockton and the region

Centroid at 37.9206, -121.3027 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stockton scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Stockton

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

28.7% poverty · this tract

7.2

Supply constraint

$615 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Stockton

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Stockton

8.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Stockton

7.2

How Stockton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.0%Housing insecurity
16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
40.4%Food insecurity
38.7%SNAP enrollment
19.4%Transit barriers
20.5%No health insurance
21.1%Frequent mental distress
43.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stockton

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stockton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077002503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077002503?

Census tract 06077002503 in Stockton scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077002503?

Median gross rent is $615/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077002503?

28.7% of residents in tract 06077002503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,300.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077002503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 99th, minority 93th, housing 50th.

What share of households in tract 06077002503 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077002503 compare to Stockton overall?

Tract 06077002503 scores 8.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Stockton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stockton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06077002503 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stockton

Top eight tracts in Stockton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.