Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Goleta Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06083003001 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 6,217 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Goleta
Eviction risk in Goleta centers on tract 06083003001, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 6,217 residents. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,758 a month against an average household income of $88,869 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units2,287
Renter share73.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$88,869
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
National
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goleta and the region
Centroid at 34.4314, -119.8194 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goleta scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goleta
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,758 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goleta
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goleta
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goleta
6.1
How Goleta compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.6%Food insecurity
- 18.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 14.1%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goleta
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goleta, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Barbara County average of 5.5 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083003001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083003001?
Census tract 06083003001 in Goleta scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083003001?
Median gross rent is $1,758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083003001?
19.8% of residents in tract 06083003001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,217.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083003001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 72th, minority 83th, housing 100th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06083003001 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06083003001 compare to Goleta overall?
Tract 06083003001 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Goleta at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goleta; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goleta
Top eight tracts in Goleta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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