Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Goleta Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06083003001 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 6,217 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Goleta

Tract 06083003001 sits in Goleta, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 43% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units2,287
Renter share73.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$88,869

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Goleta
Very High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#32 of 108 tracts In Santa Barbara
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#3,423 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#7,382 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goleta and the region

Centroid at 34.4314, -119.8194 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goleta scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goleta
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,758 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goleta
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goleta
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goleta
6.1

How Goleta compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goleta risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.1This tracttract 0030017.1Goletaparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goleta

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $1,758, 28% below the Goleta average. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Santa Barbara County average of 51.2%.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Nationally it ranks #7,382 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $88,869.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06083003001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083003001?

Census tract 06083003001 in Goleta scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06083003001?

Median gross rent is $1,758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06083003001?

19.8% of residents in tract 06083003001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,217.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06083003001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 72th, minority 83th, housing 100th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06083003001 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06083003001 compare to Goleta overall?

Tract 06083003001 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Goleta at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goleta; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goleta

Top eight tracts in Goleta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related