Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

Mission Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santa Cruz

Tract 06087101001 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,752 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

How risky is the Mission Hill Historic District neighborhood of Santa Cruz for landlords? Census tract 06087101001 scores 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,301 monthly, set against $62,679 in average yearly household income, roughly 44% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 24% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units1,340

Renter share58.2%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate23.3%

Median income$62,679

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region

Centroid at 36.9664, -122.0327 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mission Hill Historic District scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Cruz

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

23.3% poverty · this tract

5.8

Supply constraint

$2,301 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Cruz

9.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.5

How Mission Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mission Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.1%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
9.8%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
28.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mission Hill Historic District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Santa Cruz, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087101001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087101001?

Census tract 06087101001 in the Mission Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087101001?

Median gross rent is $2,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087101001?

23.3% of residents in tract 06087101001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,752.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087101001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 3th, minority 68th, housing 97th.

Is tract 06087101001 considered part of Mission Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087101001 fall within Mission Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087101001 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087101001 compare to Santa Cruz overall?

Tract 06087101001 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of Santa Cruz at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Cruz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Cruz

Top eight tracts in Santa Cruz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.