Neighborhood · Ranked #2,922 of 84,120 nationally

Mission Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Santa Cruz

Tract 06087101002 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,041 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 9.4/10, tract 06087101002 in the Mission Hill Historic District area of Santa Cruz, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,041 residents. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

9.4

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 34% Owners 15%

Tract context

Occupied units2,290

Renter share85.3%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate28.1%

Median income$56,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Cruz and the region

Centroid at 36.9628, -122.0189 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mission Hill Historic District scores 9.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Cruz

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

28.1% poverty · this tract

7.0

Supply constraint

$1,979 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Cruz

9.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Cruz

7.5

How Mission Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
89%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mission Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.6%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
21.5%Food insecurity
20.5%SNAP enrollment
12.5%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mission Hill Historic District

Against the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $56,208 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 85% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 60% here against 48.5% across Santa Cruz County. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,979, 19% below the Santa Cruz average. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087101002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087101002?

Census tract 06087101002 in the Mission Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 9.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087101002?

Median gross rent is $1,979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087101002?

28.1% of residents in tract 06087101002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,041.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087101002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 43th, minority 64th, housing 89th.

Is tract 06087101002 considered part of Mission Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087101002 fall within Mission Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087101002 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087101002 compare to Santa Cruz overall?

Tract 06087101002 scores 9.4/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Cruz at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Cruz; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Cruz

Top eight tracts in Santa Cruz ranked by composite eviction-risk score.