Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Ceres Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06099002603 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 3,705
Census tract 06099002603 covers Ceres in Stanislaus County, home to 3,705 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,640 a month while the average household earns $85,532 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units936
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$85,532
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ceres and the region
Centroid at 37.6020, -120.9524 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ceres scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ceres
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,640 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ceres
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ceres
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ceres
6.5
How Ceres compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 17.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 37.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ceres
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ceres, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099002603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002603?
Census tract 06099002603 in Ceres scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099002603?
Median gross rent is $1,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002603?
10.6% of residents in tract 06099002603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,705.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 94th, minority 72th, housing 35th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099002603 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099002603 compare to Ceres overall?
Tract 06099002603 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Ceres at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ceres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ceres
Top eight tracts in Ceres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06099002604
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06099002602
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Bystrom
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002503
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002605
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099003003
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002505
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002504
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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