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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Turlock Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06099003611 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,371

Here is how census tract 06099003611, in Turlock in Stanislaus County, looks to a landlord: a 6.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,371. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 72% of renter households, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,245 monthly, set against $126,607 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 6% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,303
Renter share20.2%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$126,607

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 16 tracts In Turlock
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
Very Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#6,888 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Turlock and the region

Centroid at 37.5329, -120.8396 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turlock scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Turlock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,245 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Turlock
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Turlock
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Turlock
6.5

How Turlock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turlock risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 003611Turlock: 8.08.0Turlockparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turlock

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Turlock, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099003611

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003611?

Census tract 06099003611 in Turlock scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099003611?

Median gross rent is $2,245/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003611?

4.6% of residents in tract 06099003611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,371.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003611?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 21th, minority 66th, housing 7th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099003611 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099003611 compare to Turlock overall?

Tract 06099003611 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Turlock at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Turlock; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Turlock

Top eight tracts in Turlock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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