Ortega Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031002300 · Duval, FL · pop 1,918 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
12031002300 is a census tract in the Ortega Forest area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,918 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2827, -81.7145 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ortega Forest scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Ortega Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 9%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2009)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 14Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ortega Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Ortega Forest
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $1,138 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. The filing record is not thin: 43 evictions over 10 years of observation.
It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2009, when 3.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $105,263, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12031002300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002300?
What is the average rent in tract 12031002300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002300?
Is tract 12031002300 considered part of Ortega Forest?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002300?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002300 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031002300 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Was tract 12031002300 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.