4 census tracts · pop 11,175 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10
· range 3–4.6
Ortega Forest is a 4-tract neighborhood of Jacksonville, FL and houses 11,175 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Jacksonville baseline of 32.8%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.5/10.
Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.6. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. At $1,127 a month, rents sit 23% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
Court records carry 2,815 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 24.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 10.2% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #10 of 33 neighborhoods in Jacksonville.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Azalea Terrace and Belle Rive.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Ortega Forest vs JacksonvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Ortega Forest
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,815Total filings (sum)
10.76%Avg annual filing rate
24.8%Peak year (2013)
11.52%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,730Total filings 2020-21
6.5Avg monthly observed
6.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).
Frequently asked
About Ortega Forest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Ortega Forest?
Ortega Forest scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Ortega Forest compare to Jacksonville overall?
Ortega Forest scores 0.6 points higher than Jacksonville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,127 vs $1,465.
Q3
What is the average rent in Ortega Forest?
Average gross rent in Ortega Forest is $1,127/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Ortega Forest residents are renters?
47% of Ortega Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 11,175 residents.
Q5
Is Ortega Forest a high social-vulnerability area?
Ortega Forest sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Ortega Forest have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Ortega Forest is census tract 12031013404 (score 4.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.6, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Ortega Forest for landlords?
Ortega Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Ortega Forest?
Ortega Forest has 10,748 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.1%), Hispanic / Latino (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
