Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Garden City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031010503 · Duval, FL · pop 7,320 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 4.9/10 for census tract 12031010503 reflects conditions in Garden City in Jacksonville, Florida. That is riskier than roughly 36% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,029 a month while the average household earns $55,811 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,564
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$55,811
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.4330, -81.7120 · click any tract to drill in
Why Garden City scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,029 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Garden City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 474Total filings 2020-21
- 6.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Garden City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Garden City
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.86x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031010503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031010503?
Census tract 12031010503 in the Garden City neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031010503?
Median gross rent is $1,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031010503?
18.7% of residents in tract 12031010503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,320.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031010503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 95th, minority 85th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 12031010503 considered part of Garden City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031010503 fall within Garden City (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031010503 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031010503 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031010503 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031015502
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related