Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Garden City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031010503 · Duval, FL · pop 7,320 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 12031010503 sits in the Garden City area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. Population here is 7,320. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,564
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$55,811
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.4330, -81.7120 · click any tract to drill in
Why Garden City scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,029 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Garden City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 474Total filings 2020-21
- 6.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Garden City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Garden City
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $1,029 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $55,811.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031010503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031010503?
Census tract 12031010503 in the Garden City neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031010503?
Median gross rent is $1,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031010503?
18.7% of residents in tract 12031010503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,320.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031010503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 95th, minority 85th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 12031010503 considered part of Garden City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031010503 fall within Garden City (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031010503 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031010503 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031010503 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mill Creek North
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031017400
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012900
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014702
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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