Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Garden City Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031010306 · Duval, FL · pop 1,288 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 12031010306 sits in the Garden City area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. It is home to 1,288 residents. 71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Duval County average of 49.2%.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units607
Renter share40.2%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$69,152
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.4368, -81.6847 · click any tract to drill in
Why Garden City scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,091 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Garden City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 185Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.20×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Garden City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Garden City
The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,091 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Duval County average of 3.7 closely.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $69,152. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031010306
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031010306?
Census tract 12031010306 in the Garden City neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031010306?
Median gross rent is $1,091/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031010306?
13.0% of residents in tract 12031010306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,288.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031010306?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 78th, minority 79th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 12031010306 considered part of Garden City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031010306 fall within Garden City (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031010306 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031010306 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031010306 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013302
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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