Neighborhood · Jacksonville, FL

Garden City Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 16,057 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.9–4.6

Garden City is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Jacksonville with 3 census tracts and a population of 16,057 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,187/month sits 19% lower than the Jacksonville citywide average ($1,465).

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Garden City vs Jacksonville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.3% +50%

Jacksonville: 32.8%

Average gross rent

$1,187 -19%

Jacksonville: $1,465

Average HH income

$58,259 -13%

Jacksonville: $66,981

Poverty rate

15.2% +1%

Jacksonville: 15.0%

Renter share

37.3% -12%

Jacksonville: 42.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Garden City and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.9–4.6

Why Garden City scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

37% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

15.2% below poverty line · Range 3.0–4.7 across tracts

3.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.9 across tracts

1.9

Risk score comparison

Garden City vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Garden City?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 3.9 to 4.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.6 4.0 3.9

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Garden City

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12031010503	4.6	7,320	46%	$1,029
12031010305	4	7,449	48%	$1,358
12031010306	3.9	1,288	71%	$1,091

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 91%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 78%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Garden City

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,337Total filings 2020-21
7.1Avg monthly observed
7.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.99×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).

Frequently asked

About Garden City

What is the eviction-risk score for Garden City?

Garden City scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Garden City compare to Jacksonville overall?

Garden City scores 1.8 points higher than Jacksonville overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,187 vs $1,465.

What is the average rent in Garden City?

Average gross rent in Garden City is $1,187/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Garden City residents are renters?

37% of Garden City households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 16,057 residents.

Is Garden City a high social-vulnerability area?

Garden City sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Garden City have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Garden City is census tract 12031010503 (score 4.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 4.6, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Garden City for landlords?

Garden City carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Garden City?

Garden City has 16,018 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (71.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.1%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Garden City

5.5 Tallulah-North Shore 4 tracts · pop 11,344 5.5 Brentwood 5 tracts · pop 14,462 3.3 Cary 2 tracts · pop 9,685 5.4 LaVilla 5 tracts · pop 14,726 5 Riverside 3 tracts · pop 10,339 3.6 Avondale 6 tracts · pop 21,984

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jacksonville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Garden City.

4.3 Mill Creek North 5 tracts · pop 30,080 4.4 Belle Rive 2 tracts · pop 8,424 4.1 Ortega Forest 4 tracts · pop 11,175 4.5 Azalea Terrace 5 tracts · pop 15,973 4.5 Englewood 5 tracts · pop 17,186 4 Loretto 3 tracts · pop 12,657

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