3 census tracts · pop 16,057 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10
· range 3.4–4.4
Garden City spans 3 census tracts of Jacksonville, FL, population 16,057. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Jacksonville baseline of 32.8%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. At $1,187 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.4 to 4.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10.
That places it #12 of 33 neighborhoods in Jacksonville. The closest comparables inside the same city are Mill Creek North and Royal Lakes. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $58,259. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Garden City vs JacksonvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Garden City
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,337Total filings 2020-21
7.1Avg monthly observed
7.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville, FL).
Frequently asked
About Garden City
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Garden City?
Garden City scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Garden City compare to Jacksonville overall?
Garden City scores 0.5 points higher than Jacksonville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,187 vs $1,465.
Q3
What is the average rent in Garden City?
Average gross rent in Garden City is $1,187/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Garden City residents are renters?
37% of Garden City households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Jacksonville). The neighborhood has 16,057 residents.
Q5
Is Garden City a high social-vulnerability area?
Garden City sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Garden City have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Garden City is census tract 12031010503 (score 4.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 4.4, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Garden City for landlords?
Garden City carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jacksonville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Garden City?
Garden City has 16,018 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (71.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.1%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
