Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Lauren Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031013732 · Duval, FL · pop 5,225 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12031013732 (the Lauren Oaks area of Jacksonville, Florida) comes in at 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 36th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,455 monthly, set against $66,447 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,336
Renter share57.5%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$66,447
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2618, -81.8445 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lauren Oaks scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Lauren Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 953Total filings 2020-21
- 12.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lauren Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lauren Oaks
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 3.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.17x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031013732
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013732?
Census tract 12031013732 in the Lauren Oaks neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031013732?
Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013732?
13.2% of residents in tract 12031013732 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,225.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013732?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 49th, minority 83th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 12031013732 considered part of Lauren Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031013732 fall within Lauren Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031013732 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031013732 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031013732 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002702
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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