Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Lauren Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031013732 · Duval, FL · pop 5,225 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 12031013732 covers part of the Lauren Oaks area of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,225 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units2,336
Renter share57.5%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$66,447
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2618, -81.8445 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lauren Oaks scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Lauren Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 953Total filings 2020-21
- 12.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lauren Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lauren Oaks
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 60% here against 49.2% across Duval County. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.1/10. It tracks the Duval County average of 3.7 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,455, close to the Jacksonville average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $66,447. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031013732
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013732?
Census tract 12031013732 in the Lauren Oaks neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031013732?
Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013732?
13.2% of residents in tract 12031013732 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,225.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013732?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 49th, minority 83th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 12031013732 considered part of Lauren Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031013732 fall within Lauren Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031013732 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031013732 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031013732 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Riverside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002701
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Belle Rive
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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