Lauren Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

At $2,028 a month, rents run 38% over what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 17.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.