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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Sans Pareil Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville

Tract 12031014415 · Duval, FL · pop 5,748 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

12031014415 is a census tract in the Sans Pareil area of Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,748 residents. 82% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Duval County average of 49.2%.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 82% Stable renters 18% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units976
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate32.8%
Median income$47,733

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Sans Pareil
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#21 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.2683, -81.5079 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sans Pareil scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.8% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,409 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Sans Pareil compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sans Pareil risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0144153.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 189Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 5.25×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sans Pareil. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sans Pareil

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $47,733 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031014415

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014415?

Census tract 12031014415 in the Sans Pareil neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031014415?

Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014415?

32.8% of residents in tract 12031014415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,748.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014415?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 11th, minority 56th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 12031014415 considered part of Sans Pareil?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031014415 fall within Sans Pareil (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031014415 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 5.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031014415 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031014415 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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