Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010823 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,078 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Eviction risk in the The Oaks area of University centers on tract 12057010823, which scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,078 residents. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.
61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,219 monthly, set against $37,199 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 96% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,118
Renter share96.4%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$37,199
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0779, -82.4158 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Oaks scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0
How The Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 454Total filings 2020-21
- 6.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.96×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Oaks
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.96x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010823
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010823?
Census tract 12057010823 in the The Oaks neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010823?
Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010823?
28.9% of residents in tract 12057010823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,078.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010823?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 46th, minority 80th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010823 considered part of The Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010823 fall within The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010823 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057010823 compare to University overall?
Tract 12057010823 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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