The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , University

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $37,199, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,219, close to the University average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.