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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

The Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , University

Tract 12057010824 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,751 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

12057010824 is a census tract in the The Oaks area of University, FL. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,751 residents. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 66% Stable renters 31% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,699
Renter share97.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate59.8%
Median income$24,848

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In The Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 14 tracts In University
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across University and the region

Centroid at 28.0709, -82.4201 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Oaks scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
59.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$992 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0

How The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0108243.2Universityparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 183Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Oaks

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. 68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

The poverty rate is 60%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $24,848 and the ratio lands at 48%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1/10.

Average gross rent is $992, 16% below the University average. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010824

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010824?

Census tract 12057010824 in the The Oaks neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010824?

Median gross rent is $992/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010824?

59.8% of residents in tract 12057010824 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,751.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010824?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 1th, minority 64th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010824 considered part of The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010824 fall within The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010824 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057010824 compare to University overall?

Tract 12057010824 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of University at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University

Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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