Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Lower , Carrollwood
Tract 12057011301 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,655 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Arlington area of Carrollwood anchors census tract 12057011301, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,643 a month while the average household earns $99,034 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share14.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$99,034
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0748, -82.4984 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,643 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 115Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.8%Peak (2002)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 28Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carrollwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.75x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011301?
Census tract 12057011301 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011301?
Median gross rent is $1,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011301?
11.0% of residents in tract 12057011301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,655.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 85th, minority 57th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011301 considered part of Arlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011301 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 115 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.48% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011301 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011301 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrollwood at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12057011106
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Angelina Pines
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
All Bright Shores
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Angelina Pines
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
All Bright Shores
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
All Bright Shores
2.5
/ 10 · Low
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