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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12081000901 · Manatee, FL · pop 5,719 · 52% of tract blocks fall in Bayshore Gardens

Census tract 12081000901 covers part of Bayshore Gardens, FL, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,719 residents. Against Manatee County at 53.5%, 80% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 4% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,922
Renter share17.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$66,389

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Bayshore Gardens
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Elevated
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#1,051 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region

Centroid at 27.4161, -82.5723 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore Gardens scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,444 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
7.8

How Bayshore Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayshore Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0009014.1Bayshore Gardensparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 135Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.4%Peak (2015)
  • 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12081000901
Filings dropped 24% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore Gardens

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Manatee County average of 4.1.

Court records carry 135 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 10.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000901?

Census tract 12081000901 in Bayshore Gardens scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081000901?

Median gross rent is $1,444/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000901?

15.3% of residents in tract 12081000901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,719.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 81th, minority 48th, housing 69th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 135 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12081000901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.83% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12081000901 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?

Tract 12081000901 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Bayshore Gardens at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bayshore Gardens

Top eight tracts in Bayshore Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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