Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Italian Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Coral Gables
Tract 12086007403 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,118 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The Italian Village neighborhood of Coral Gables anchors census tract 12086007403, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #32,127 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,100 monthly, set against $119,817 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,823
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$119,817
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coral Gables and the region
Centroid at 25.7290, -80.2653 · click any tract to drill in
Why Italian Village scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Coral Gables
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$3,100 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coral Gables
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coral Gables
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coral Gables
5.8
How Italian Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 13%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 174Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.45×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Italian Village
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Coral Gables, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086007403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086007403?
Census tract 12086007403 in the Italian Village neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086007403?
Median gross rent is $3,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086007403?
21.5% of residents in tract 12086007403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,118.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086007403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 25th, minority 76th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 12086007403 considered part of Italian Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086007403 fall within Italian Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086007403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.45× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086007403 compare to Coral Gables overall?
Tract 12086007403 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Coral Gables at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coral Gables; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12086007403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Coral Gables
Top eight tracts in Coral Gables ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
French City Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12086006201
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12086006205
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
French City Village
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
French Normandy Village
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12086007801
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
French City Village
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · FL
French Normandy Village
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
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