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Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Venetian Isles Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103024004 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,692 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Venetian Isles area of St. Petersburg anchors census tract 12103024004, which lands at 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 19% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,554 a month against an average household income of $151,696 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,985
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$151,696

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Venetian Isles
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Very Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#264 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#4,816 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.8196, -82.6029 · click any tract to drill in

Why Venetian Isles scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,554 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Venetian Isles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Venetian Isles risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.61.6This tracttract 024004St. Petersburg: 2.72.7St. Petersburgparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 91Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 2.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030240042000: 5 filings (2.35/100 renter HHs)2001: 7 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2002: 15 filings (7.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (1.88/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.95/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2007: 6 filings (5.71/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2010: 1 filings (0.39/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (1.24/100 renter HHs)2014: 9 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2017: 1 filings (0.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 80% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 24Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Venetian Isles. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Venetian Isles

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103024004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024004?

Census tract 12103024004 in the Venetian Isles neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103024004?

Median gross rent is $1,554/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024004?

3.1% of residents in tract 12103024004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,692.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 49th, minority 17th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 12103024004 considered part of Venetian Isles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024004 fall within Venetian Isles (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024004?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 91 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.52% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103024004 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103024004 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103024004 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12103024004 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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