Venetian Isles Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 20.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The filing record is not thin: 79 evictions over 18 years of observation.

It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8. The worst year on record was 2004, when 10.4% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $175,781, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.