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Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105011606 · Polk, FL · pop 2,103 · 55% of tract blocks fall in Lakeland

The Lower-tier score of 3.5/10 for census tract 12105011606 reflects conditions in Lakeland, Florida. That is riskier than roughly 6% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 16% of renter households, a modest level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,469 monthly, set against $70,690 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 26% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units612
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$70,690

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Moderate
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#86 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,782 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.1085, -81.8666 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,469 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 011606Lakeland: 2.52.5Lakelandparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 402Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 20.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 51.6%Peak (2005)
  • 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050116062000: 33 filings (33.06/100 renter HHs)2001: 34 filings (34.07/100 renter HHs)2002: 34 filings (34.07/100 renter HHs)2003: 18 filings (18.03/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (24.05/100 renter HHs)2005: 48 filings (51.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 32 filings (34.43/100 renter HHs)2008: 21 filings (22.59/100 renter HHs)2009: 9 filings (9.68/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (10.94/100 renter HHs)2011: 23 filings (13.77/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (12.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (7.78/100 renter HHs)2014: 25 filings (14.97/100 renter HHs)2015: 22 filings (13.17/100 renter HHs)2016: 17 filings (10.30/100 renter HHs)2017: 14 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 402 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 20.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 51.6% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011606

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011606?

Census tract 12105011606 in Lakeland scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011606?

Median gross rent is $1,469/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011606?

12.7% of residents in tract 12105011606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,103.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011606?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 71th, minority 44th, housing 87th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011606?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 402 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011606 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.80% of renter households, peaking at 51.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011606 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105011606 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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