Census Tract · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012510 · Polk, FL · pop 3,530

For landlords sizing up Poinciana, census tract 12105012510 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,646 a month while the average household earns $39,416 a year, roughly 50% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 30% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,456

Renter share47.3%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate19.9%

Median income$39,416

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinciana and the region

Centroid at 28.1195, -81.4652 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poinciana scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Poinciana

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

19.9% poverty · this tract

5.0

Supply constraint

$1,646 rent vs county FMR

7.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Poinciana

9.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Poinciana

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Poinciana

7.8

How Poinciana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poinciana

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012510

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012510?

Census tract 12105012510 in Poinciana scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12105012510?

Median gross rent is $1,646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012510?

19.9% of residents in tract 12105012510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,530.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012510?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 97th, minority 87th, housing 43th.

How does tract 12105012510 compare to Poinciana overall?

Tract 12105012510 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Poinciana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana

Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.