Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105014126 ·
Polk, FL · pop 3,993 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Poinciana
12105014126 is a census tract in Poinciana, FL. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,993 residents. Cost burden runs 68% here against 45.8% across Polk County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 5%Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,537
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$56,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
40th percentile
#7 of 11 tracts In Poinciana
Moderate
Within county
62th percentile
#66 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
58th percentile
#2,145 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
44th percentile
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Poinciana and the region
Centroid at 28.0580, -81.5139 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poinciana scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Poinciana
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,564 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Poinciana
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Poinciana
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Poinciana
7.8
How Poinciana compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Set annual rent against average income of $56,056 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,564, 20% below the Poinciana average.
Adults with no health insurance runs 22.4% against 11.3% nationally. The voucher gap is 17.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014126
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014126?
Census tract 12105014126 in Poinciana scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014126?
Median gross rent is $1,564/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014126?
13.1% of residents in tract 12105014126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,993.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014126?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 98th, minority 87th, housing 23th.
Q5
How does tract 12105014126 compare to Poinciana overall?
Tract 12105014126 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Poinciana at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana
Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.