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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12097041101 · Osceola, FL · pop 9,844

Census tract 12097041101 covers part of Poinciana, FL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 9,844. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 12% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units3,009
Renter share30.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$57,252

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 11 tracts In Poinciana
Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#34 of 59 tracts In Osceola
Moderate
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#2,265 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinciana and the region

Centroid at 28.1772, -81.4851 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poinciana scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Poinciana
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,728 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Poinciana
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Poinciana
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Poinciana
7.8

How Poinciana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Poinciana risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0411014.0Poincianaparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poinciana

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $57,252, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 23.1% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Osceola County average of 4.7. Average gross rent is $1,728, 12% below the Poinciana average.

On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

62% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12097041101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12097041101?

Census tract 12097041101 in Poinciana scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12097041101?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12097041101?

8.9% of residents in tract 12097041101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,844.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12097041101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 98th, minority 91th, housing 28th.
Q5

How does tract 12097041101 compare to Poinciana overall?

Tract 12097041101 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Poinciana at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana

Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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