Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014127 · Polk, FL · pop 7,228

For landlords sizing up Poinciana, census tract 12105014127 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of $1/10. On the national scale it ranks #20,694 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 75% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 64% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,627 monthly, set against $52,781 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 7% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units2,255

Renter share27.0%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate19.4%

Median income$52,781

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinciana and the region

Centroid at 28.0829, -81.5028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poinciana scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Poinciana

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

19.4% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$1,627 rent vs county FMR

7.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Poinciana

9.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Poinciana

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Poinciana

7.8

How Poinciana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

86%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poinciana

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014127

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014127?

Census tract 12105014127 in Poinciana scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12105014127?

Median gross rent is $1,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014127?

19.4% of residents in tract 12105014127 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,228.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014127?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 96th, minority 92th, housing 15th.

How does tract 12105014127 compare to Poinciana overall?

Tract 12105014127 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Poinciana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana

Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.