Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12097041302 ·
Osceola, FL · pop 8,583 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Poinciana
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 12097041302 in Poinciana, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 7%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,452
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$60,777
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#6 of 11 tracts In Poinciana
Moderate
Within county
50th percentile
#30 of 59 tracts In Osceola
Moderate
Within state
65th percentile
#1,779 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
49th percentile
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Poinciana and the region
Centroid at 28.1039, -81.4194 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poinciana scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Poinciana
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Poinciana
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Poinciana
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Poinciana
7.8
How Poinciana compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.7% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $60,777 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Osceola County average of 59.8%.
Average gross rent is $1,659, 16% below the Poinciana average. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12097041302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12097041302?
Census tract 12097041302 in Poinciana scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12097041302?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12097041302?
13.6% of residents in tract 12097041302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,583.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12097041302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 73th, minority 94th, housing 49th.
Q5
How does tract 12097041302 compare to Poinciana overall?
Tract 12097041302 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Poinciana at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana
Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.