Poinciana Eviction Risk: Moderate

The voucher gap is 39.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 9/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $59,808, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Adults with no health insurance runs 28.2% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Polk County average of 3.9. The filing record is not thin: 15 evictions over 8 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2003, when 16.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.