Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Auburndale Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105013001 · Polk, FL · pop 3,830 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

The Auburndale neighborhood of Auburndale is where census tract 12105013001 sits, home to 3,830 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.

67% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,332 monthly, set against $73,266 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,281
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$73,266

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Auburndale
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Auburndale
Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#150 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,359 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Auburndale and the region

Centroid at 28.0951, -81.7827 · click any tract to drill in

Why Auburndale scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Auburndale
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,332 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Auburndale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Auburndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Auburndale
7.4

How Auburndale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Auburndale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 013001Auburndale: 2.22.2Auburndaleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 305Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 11.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.6%Peak (2015)
  • 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050130012000: 15 filings (12.33/100 renter HHs)2001: 19 filings (15.62/100 renter HHs)2002: 8 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2003: 8 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2004: 16 filings (13.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 14 filings (11.41/100 renter HHs)2007: 9 filings (7.34/100 renter HHs)2008: 26 filings (21.20/100 renter HHs)2009: 9 filings (7.34/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (7.93/100 renter HHs)2012: 26 filings (11.45/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (6.61/100 renter HHs)2014: 18 filings (7.93/100 renter HHs)2015: 40 filings (17.62/100 renter HHs)2016: 24 filings (16.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 25 filings (16.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Auburndale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Auburndale

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Auburndale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 305 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 11.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.6% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013001?

Census tract 12105013001 in the Auburndale neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013001?

Median gross rent is $1,332/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013001?

5.0% of residents in tract 12105013001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,830.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 85th, minority 37th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 12105013001 considered part of Auburndale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105013001 fall within Auburndale (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 305 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.30% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12105013001 compare to Auburndale overall?

Tract 12105013001 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Auburndale at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Auburndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Auburndale

Top eight tracts in Auburndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related