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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Auburndale Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105013001 · Polk, FL · pop 3,830 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

12105013001 is a census tract in the Auburndale area of Auburndale, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,830. Against Polk County at 45.8%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,281
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$73,266

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Auburndale
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Auburndale
Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#158 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Auburndale and the region

Centroid at 28.0951, -81.7827 · click any tract to drill in

Why Auburndale scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Auburndale
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,332 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Auburndale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Auburndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Auburndale
7.4

How Auburndale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Auburndale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0130013.7Auburndaleparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 305Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 11.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.6%Peak (2015)
  • 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105013001
Filings climbed 67% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Auburndale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Auburndale

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.

Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 305 filings here across 17 tracked years.

At $1,332 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Auburndale commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 17.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013001?

Census tract 12105013001 in the Auburndale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013001?

Median gross rent is $1,332/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013001?

5.0% of residents in tract 12105013001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,830.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 85th, minority 37th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 12105013001 considered part of Auburndale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105013001 fall within Auburndale (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 305 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.30% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12105013001 compare to Auburndale overall?

Tract 12105013001 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Auburndale at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Auburndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Auburndale

Top eight tracts in Auburndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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