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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Auburndale Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105013101 · Polk, FL · pop 4,800 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 12105013101 sits in the Auburndale area of Auburndale, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,688
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$105,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Auburndale
Very Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Auburndale
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#157 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Auburndale and the region

Centroid at 28.0997, -81.8150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Auburndale scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Auburndale
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,384 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Auburndale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Auburndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Auburndale
7.4

How Auburndale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Auburndale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0131013.7Auburndaleparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 71Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 4.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak (2017)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105013101
Filings climbed 200% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Auburndale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Auburndale

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.

Cost burden runs about half here against 45.8% across Polk County. It sits 0.9 points below the Polk County average of 3.9. Court records carry 71 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

Average gross rent is $1,384, 15% above the Auburndale average. Filings peaked in 2017 at 6.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.

Against average income of $105,889, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013101?

Census tract 12105013101 in the Auburndale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013101?

Median gross rent is $1,384/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013101?

4.1% of residents in tract 12105013101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,800.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 9th, minority 36th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 12105013101 considered part of Auburndale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105013101 fall within Auburndale (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.09% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12105013101 compare to Auburndale overall?

Tract 12105013101 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Auburndale at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Auburndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Auburndale

Top eight tracts in Auburndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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