Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12105014123 ·
Polk, FL · pop 7,773 · 35% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven
Winter Haven is where census tract 12105014123 sits, home to 7,773 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.6/10. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,211 monthly, set against $62,557 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 11%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,950
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$62,557
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
20th percentile
#13 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Low
Within county
43th percentile
#99 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
60th percentile
#2,057 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
45th percentile
#46,312 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region
Centroid at 28.0073, -81.6500 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Haven scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,211 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
How Winter Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
80%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 203 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 3.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.1% of renter households in 2017.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014123
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014123?
Census tract 12105014123 in Winter Haven scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014123?
Median gross rent is $1,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014123?
9.4% of residents in tract 12105014123 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014123?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 87th, minority 51th, housing 29th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014123?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12105014123 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.40% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105014123 compare to Winter Haven overall?
Tract 12105014123 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven
Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.