Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105013901 · Polk, FL · pop 3,007
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12105013901 (Winter Haven in Polk County, Florida) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,307 monthly, set against $47,866 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,120
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate30.9%
Median income$47,866
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
National
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region
Centroid at 28.0112, -81.7254 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Haven scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.9% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,307 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
How Winter Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,014Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2001)
- 27Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,014 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 6.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.5% of renter households in 2001.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105013901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013901?
Census tract 12105013901 in Winter Haven scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105013901?
Median gross rent is $1,307/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013901?
30.9% of residents in tract 12105013901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,007.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 63th, minority 74th, housing 65th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,014 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.80% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105013901 compare to Winter Haven overall?
Tract 12105013901 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven
Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12105013602
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105013801
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013701
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013601
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013802
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013702
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105014003
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105014501
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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