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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013901 · Polk, FL · pop 3,007

Tract 12105013901 sits in Winter Haven, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 3,007 residents. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 44% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,120
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate30.9%
Median income$47,866

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0112, -81.7254 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.9% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,307 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0139014.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,014Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 6.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak (2001)
  • 27Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105013901
Filings dropped 61% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $47,866, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Polk County average of 3.9.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 1,014 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 12.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013901?

Census tract 12105013901 in Winter Haven scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013901?

Median gross rent is $1,307/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013901?

30.9% of residents in tract 12105013901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,007.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 63th, minority 74th, housing 65th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,014 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.80% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013901 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013901 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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